Six Scenarios How Russia May Use Nukes

Discussion of the unthinkable — The scenarios for Russia to use nuclear weapons

Matthew.Rosenquist

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The Catalyst — Putin’s War on Ukraine

After almost 8 months of conflict, the war in Ukraine is tipping in favor of the defenders and against Putin’s vaunted army. The highly motivated, resourceful, and well-supported forces of Ukraine are making a fool of Putin, his threatening rhetoric, implausible narratives, and the entire Russian military war machine. The conflict has degraded to a point that Putin has begun irrationally threatening the use of nuclear weapons — a reckless posturing that may come to fruition.

The chances of a nuclear engagement are still slim, with most of Russia’s propaganda being a political ploy to disincentivize the support from the West, but the real risks are not zero and have grown significantly over the past few months.

Desperation Always Leads to the Worst Options.

As an intellectual exercise, it is valuable to discuss what such a foolish move may look like, how it would unfold, and detail the unthinkable — scenarios for Russia to use nuclear weapons.

The Russian conquest of Ukraine was supposed to be quick and easy, but Putin’s grandiose…

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Matthew.Rosenquist

CISO and cybersecurity Strategist specializing in the evolution of threats, opportunities, and risks in pursuit of optimal security